Important information - the value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up, so you may get back less than you invest.

Expectations for interest rates are moving downwards after inflation fell in October and the Bank of England signalled that the rate of price rises has peaked for now.

UK consumer price index (CPI) inflation dipped to 3.6% in October, down from 3.8% in September. It follows comments in the minutes of the last Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting that rate-setters now believe inflation has peaked. 

The Bank of England held rates at 4% at its November meeting with members split on whether to lower borrowing costs. The MPC voted 5-4 to hold rates after the chances of a cut grew in the days leading up to the vote. 

Markets now believe another rate cut will arrive at the December meeting scheduled for 18 December.

The MPC will want to be confident that inflationary pressures are easing. Beyond the headline rate for price rises, labour market data this week showed regular pay rising by 4.7% in the June to August period, bolstering demand in the economy and adding upward pressure to inflation.

At the same time, overall growth in the economy is weak. The labour data showed vacancies in the UK fell by 1.3% July to September, meaning vacancies are down 13.8% on last year. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew just 0.1% in August after a fall of 1% in July.

The next central bank meeting is scheduled for 18 December 2025 followed by meetings on:

  • 5 February 2026
  • 20 March 2026
  • 30 April 2026

How rates have changed 

The path ahead for interest rates, as implied by market prices, has been changing. The chart below shows the implied level of interest rates from 31 July, 16 September and 18 November.

This is based on market prices for government bonds with different lengths of maturity.

The most recent reading (in red) shows that markets now expect rates to fall to near 3.5% in about six months. This would indicate two more quarter-point cut by the middle of next year. Forward prices beyond that suggest rates levelling out.

Will mortgage rates fall?

As a general rule, if the Bank of England lowers interest rates then mortgage rates tend to fall as well. Ultimately, however, it is up to lenders to decide the rates they offer and changes to mortgage deals can often run ahead or behind changes in the Bank rate.

Mortgage rates have fallen from a peak in 2023. Rate cuts accelerated in April as financial markets moved their expectations for rates this year lower but have been rising again recently. As of 18 November 2025, the best rate on a five-year fixed rate mortgage was 3.82%1.

Will cash savings rates fall?

The rates you see on cash savings are set by account providers who compete with each other to win savers’ deposits. While not directly linked to movements in the Bank of England rate, they do tend to correlate with it. The predicted falls in the Bank Rate are, therefore, likely to be accompanied by falling savings rates as well. 

The rates on best-buy cash accounts have been declining since last summer. This has pushed headline rates lower but has also encouraged savings providers to add in conditions which potentially reduce the rate you get. Many of the highest-paying accounts include an element of interest which is temporary and will fall out after six months or a year. Alternatively, you may lose several months interest if you withdraw money from the account. 

Currently, the highest interest is being paid on Cash ISA accounts. As of 18 November 2025, the best rate on a Cash ISA which allows easy access to your money and doesn’t include temporary bonus rates is 4.56%2.  
 

Cash options - the best ways to save

There are a number of potential homes for money if you decide to hold it in cash.

It makes sense to shield your cash returns from tax if you can, which means using part of your £20,000 annual ISA allowance to hold cash. Cash ISAs do this job - although any allowance you use for cash cannot then be used for investments.

Non-ISA cash accounts also exist but returns are potentially subject to tax at your rate of income tax, subject to certain allowances.

For this reason, some savers choose Premium Bonds, where there is no guaranteed rate of interest but monthly prizes are paid instead. Prizes are tax free but the rates of return on Premium Bonds have also been falling. Moreover, you have to have above average luck in order to get those rates.

An increasingly popular cash option is to move cash savings to an investment account but utilise assets which produce a cash-like return while rates remain somewhat attractive. That would allow you to take advantage of above-inflation return from cash while it lasts, but also leave you ready to switch to investments if and when that suits you.

Cash funds or money market funds held inside investment accounts can do this job. The Fidelity Cash Fund is the best-selling cash fund on the Fidelity Investing platform and is forecast to produce 4.46% of income in the coming year - or 4.11% after deducting the Fidelity platform charge of 0.35%. Please note this yield could go down or up and is not guaranteed.

Fidelity: current interest rates we pay on cash 

Here are the current interest rates we pay on cash held in our accounts. This includes our - 

Please note that interest rates can be changed at any time and the rates below have been applied since 1 November 2025. 

Account Gross rate of annual interest Annual Equivalent Rate (AER)
ISA (including Junior ISA) 2.45% 2.48%
Investment Account 2.45% 2.48%
Cash Management Account 2.45% 2.48%
SIPP (including Junior SIPP) 2.55% 2.58%

Source:

1 London & Country, 18 November 2025

2 MoneySavingsExpert 18 November 2025

 

Important information - investors should note that the views expressed may no longer be current and may have already been acted upon. Overseas investments will be affected by movements in currency exchange rates. Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities and is included for the purposes of illustration only. An investment in a money market fund is different from an investment in deposits, as the principal invested in a money market fund is capable of fluctuation. Fidelity's money market funds do not rely on external support for guaranteeing the liquidity of the money market funds or stabilising the NAV per unit or share. An investment in a money market fund is not guaranteed. The value of shares may be adversely affected by insolvency or other financial difficulties affecting any institution in which the Fund's cash has been deposited. There is a risk that the issuers of bonds may not be able to repay the money they have borrowed or make interest payments. When interest rates rise, bonds may fall in value. Rising interest rates may cause the value of your investment to fall. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstances and all tax rules may change in the future. Withdrawals from a pension product will not be possible until you reach age 55 (57 from 2028). This information is not a personal recommendation for any particular investment. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment you should speak to one of  Fidelity’s advisers or an authorised financial adviser of your choice.

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