Important information - the value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up, so you may get back less than you invest.
It sounded like a great idea for everyone: a new, more accessible stock market that would help newly established businesses raise the money they needed to grow while giving investors the chance to share in their success, with generous tax breaks thrown in.
That was the thinking behind the advent of the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) as London’s ‘junior’ stock market when it opened for business 30 years ago this week.
How well has AIM, as it is universally known, lived up to those hopes over the subsequent three decades?
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Performance of the market as a whole has been, to put it mildly, disappointing. Even with dividends reinvested, the FTSE AIM All Share index has fallen over those 30 years. Smaller stocks listed on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange have done far better: the FTSE Fledgling Index, which includes companies of broadly the same size as those on AIM, has gained more than 1,000% over the same period. Please remember past performance is not a reliable guide to future returns.
Some AIM stocks have, however, done extremely well. Fever-Tree, the premium mixers brand, has grown to a market value of £1.1bn but it remains on the junior market. Jet2, the budget airline and holiday firm, is worth £3.8bn and Young’s & Co Brewery is valued at £519m; both are also still on AIM.
For all these successes there have been plenty of failures and not a few scandals. Numerous companies have cancelled their AIM quotation or gone bust over the years, and their shareholders, often private savers, have lost all or almost all of their money as a result. Among the most notorious failures were Quindell, a claims management firm, Langbar International, an investment company, and Patisserie Valerie, the bakery chain.
Why has AIM performed so poorly?
The market’s failure to make money for its investors is in my view likely to be due to a combination of several factors.
First, AIM is deliberately regulated more lightly than the Main Market of the stock exchange, in a bid to encourage smaller companies to seek a stock market quotation and raise money without too onerous a regulatory burden. But it is this lightness of touch that may have attracted a disproportionately large number of company promoters more interested in their own enrichment than in building profitable and sustainable businesses. Some proved to be outright fraudsters.
Second, a significant proportion of AIM is accounted for by small companies involved in oil and gas or the extraction of other natural resources. In many cases these companies started with just the right to drill or mine and turned to AIM to raise the money needed to fund development to the point that the oil or other resources could be extracted and sold. But this is a highly risky business: numerous things can go wrong, technically, legally and financially, and many of these companies never reached the stage of profitable extraction. If they happened to be led by the kind of questionable managers mentioned above, things were even more likely to go wrong.
Third, AIM was home, during the dotcom boom and bust, to many small technology companies that sought to ride the wave of enthusiasm for the internet in its early days. Many of these companies were founded on little more than an idea and had no path to profitable exploitation of any online traffic they were able to attract. Numerous AIM technology firms went bust or saw their shares lose almost all their value when the bubble burst.
Fourth, AIM offered until recently a very generous tax break: there was no inheritance tax to pay when AIM shares were bequeathed as long as they had been held for more than two years and certain other conditions were met (the rate of IHT relief was recently cut from 100% to 50%). But this may have encouraged investors to relax their standards and put money into companies that they would otherwise have avoided – and unscrupulous operators were there to meet the demand.
What does the future hold for AIM?
While the AIM All Share index has broadly gone nowhere over the past two years, the number of companies quoted on the junior market has been falling. From a peak of nearly 1,700 in 2007, the number had fallen to 679 by mid-February. In the year to February just 10 companies joined AIM while 61 left, said UHY Hacker Young, the accountancy firm.1 Companies leave for a variety of reasons, including a move up to the Main Market, a takeover by another company or a decision to become a private company.
Abby Glennie, a fund manager at Aberdeen, the asset management company, said: ‘AIM was once a thriving market, but it has been brutally knocked back by outflows in recent times. We are seeing many of the biggest and best AIM companies moving to a Main Market listing. It is a very ominous sign. Eventually we will be left with a tiny, illiquid market.’
Charlie Morris of ByteTree, an investment analyst, told Fidelity: ‘A glance at the chart shows how depressed AIM stocks are, in particular when smaller companies on the stock exchange’s Main Market have done quite well. There are some amazing companies on AIM, such as Jet2, SigmaRoc and Fever-Tree, but they have been battered in the aftermath of the 2021 bubble and are the last to recover. That said, we do expect them to recover in the end.’
(%) As at 31 May |
2020-2021 | 2021-2022 | 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
FTSE AIM | 44.6 | -21.5 | -18.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 |
FTSE Fledgling | 66.1 | 2.1 | -6.7 | 5.7 | 6.4 |
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns
Source: Refinitiv, total returns from 31.5.20 to 31.5.25. Excludes initial charge.
Source:
1AIM shrinks by 61 companies in 2024/25 - companies left on AIM at lowest level since 2001 | Insights | UHY Hacker Young
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Important information - investors should note that the views expressed may no longer be current and may have already been acted upon. Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities and is included for the purposes of illustration only. Direct shareholdings should generally form part of a well-diversified portfolio of other investments. Select 50 is not a personal recommendation to buy funds. This information is not a personal recommendation for any particular investment. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment you should speak to one of Fidelity’s advisers or an authorised financial adviser of your choice.
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