Important information - the value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up, so you may get back less than you invest.
In this series, our personal finance and markets team explain which funds they have been picking for their ISA or SIPP this year (Read other picks: Tom Stevenson, Jemma Slingo, Rebecca Nunn, Marianna Hunt).
Here, Andrew Oxlade explains why emerging markets funds feature so heavily in his Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP).
When picking funds for my pension this year, I’ve been trying to shut out the noise of the recent volatility and considered two broader, meaty questions:
- Should I be worried about the high valuations of stock markets, especially as a ‘pre-retiree’?
- And what is the right proportion of my retirement pot to have invested in a now lagging US stock market?
I can congratulate myself - or thank good fortune - that I had begun to swing money out of the US stock market and toward the UK long before sentiment swung more positively toward the UK.
This wasn’t some great early expectation of tariff wars and the questioning of America’s economic exceptionalism. It was a steady rotation over several years based on valuation. British shares had been trading at a discount for years - part of the Brexit effect - presenting an opportunity. That opportunity peaked by the time of the tariff spat in April last year: the FTSE 100 was 43% cheaper than America’s S&P 500 index, based on a comparison of price-to-earnings ratios.
How I’ve split my money
The geographical make-up of my retirement savings now greatly deviates from the circa 70% allocation to the US that you would typically see in a global stock market tracker fund. My money is spread far more evenly - 25% in the US, 23% in the UK and 21% in Europe. I also have high allocations to Asia and Latin America, which make up 20%. (You can look up your own breakdown by clicking on ‘Account holdings report’ in your Fidelity account summary page).
Valuation is always my guide. In recent years it has also pushed me toward cheap emerging markets (EM). But as ever, being a value investor has required patience and resilience. The never-ending rise of America’s ‘Magnificent Seven’ (or Mag 7) has been a godsend for US growth funds and for tracker funds that are dominated by them. It has made for nervous viewing for those, like me, who reduced their exposure. But that dominance wobbled last April and began to unravel late in 2025.
The case for emerging markets
A rotation out of the US helped pep up demand for investments in Europe, the UK, but particularly for emerging markets. The latter carry large US-dollar-denominated debts, so a falling dollar has been helpful in reducing borrowing costs. But that has just been a near-term trend. More important is the fundamental undervaluation of what are high-growth economies. Re-valuation can be a long time coming but it rewards the patient investor when it arrives.
The data suggests there could be further re-valuing to come. The Fidelity Emerging Markets investment trust, a large holding for me, has nearly doubled since a low last April (as at 2 March 2026). Yet looking at its price to earnings ratio or p/e (a measure of how cheap or expensive an investment is), it still looks relatively inexpensive at 9.5. Consider that the US market is on a lofty p/e of 27, and that broader emerging markets are on a p/e of 16.8.
I also hold the Artemis SmartGARP Global Emerging Markets Equity Fund , which has delivered a 51% return for me since investing last May. The GARP stands for ‘growth at a reasonable price’ - an appealing approach explained here. Of course, past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Fund pick no.1
On the hope of further revaluation for EM, I have also added Lazard Emerging Markets to my portfolio. This is a fund in our Select 50 list and was also a 2026 fund pick from my colleague Investment Director Tom Stevenson. The managers of the fund regard themselves as value investors, leaning toward unloved shares. In my book, that’s something of a double-value play: value managers fishing in under-valued markets. Their portfolio sits on a p/e ratio of 10.8.
You probably don’t need to be reminded that these are higher risk funds. I have a high proportion of money invested because I tend not to lose sleep when markets fall. I remind myself of the reason I hold the investment and, if the case remains, I buy more.
Fund pick no.2
I have also been moving more toward smaller companies, neglected in the 2020s amid the excitement about mega companies. As a Deutsche Bank research note recently pointed out, small caps started the year on a p/e of 13.8 and a yield of 3.4%. This compares to the large cap index on a pricier p/e of 18.4 and a lower yield of 3.1%.
The research also highlighted the long-term performance of UK small caps, despite recent weakness. The authors concluded that 71 years of compound returns would have grown £1 in small caps into £29,638 by the end of 2025, based on their Deutsche Numis Smaller Companies 1000 index. This compared to £5,681 for mid-cap shares and £1,900 for large cap, with all returns based on dividends being invested. Such data, while offering no certainty of future returns, evokes a quote associated with the late financier and investment author Jim Slater: elephants don’t gallop.
However, Mag 7 companies have defied that idiom and switched from a canter into a gallop in recent years. Putting that aside and focusing on the data, I have invested on this theme via the European Smaller Companies investment trust.
Like the UK, European share prices are more reasonably priced than the in US. And this particular trust has a greater proportion of its portfolio invested in companies worth less than £500m compared with its peer group, according to broker Winterflood. This smaller end of the small caps market has greater potential reward - but with added risk.
What about retirement?
The question of risk brings me neatly to my other starting question. As someone who might retire or scale back working days within the next decade, should I worry about the price of markets after an incredible few years of bumper returns?
The answer lies in what I’ve already set out: I am moving away from the higher valued market of the US and toward more reasonably priced markets, such as Europe, the UK, and emerging markets.
But what if I do need some of this money within a decade? Well, frankly I’m hoping I don’t. I intend to continue with fulfilling work as long as I can, as set out in my CHILL approach.
A touch of de-risking
However, best laid plans don’t always play out and so it is sensible to diversify with assets that may not move in tandem with stock markets. That may ease the pain if there are big share selloffs. I therefore have slivers of my retirement savings in gold, commercial property and infrastructure. In particular, I have allocated more to the International Public Partnerships Ltd (INPP). It is an investment trust from our Select 50 list that invests in essential, low risk infrastructure - schools, hospitals, transport and renewables - things people rely on for their daily lives. It is also part of my gradual move into income-orientated investments, which will be needed in retirement. INPP has a dividend yield of 6%.
Despite this diversification and a move toward cheaper markets in attempt to improve my future returns, my portfolio remains relatively high risk. But I believe that’s the right thing to do at my age, and with my attitude to risk. Furthermore, most of the money may not be needed for decades to come, so why move out of equities now?
If it’s too early for my 60-something colleague Tom Stevenson to derisk, then it’s too early for 52-year-old me.
- Read Tom’s: Why I'm not ready to de-risk my pension pot
Got a burning question you want to ask? Why not drop us a line. Click here to ask your question.
Important information - investors should note that the views expressed may no longer be current and may have already been acted upon. Overseas investments will be affected by movements in currency exchange rates. Investments in emerging markets can be more volatile than other more developed markets. The shares in the investment trusts are listed on the London Stock Exchange and their price is affected by supply and demand. The investment trust can gain additional exposure to the market, known as gearing, potentially increasing volatility. Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities and is included for the purposes of illustration only. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstances and all tax rules may change in the future. Withdrawals from a pension product will not be possible until you reach age 55 (57 from 2028). This information is not a personal recommendation for any particular investment. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment you should speak to one of Fidelity’s advisers or an authorised financial adviser of your choice. .
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