Investors' portfolios fail to keep pace with economic growth of emerging markets, says Fidelity International

  • UK savers have just 2.3%* in global emerging markets even though they now account for 30% of world GDP
London, 1 July 2008 – UK investors could be missing out on some of the world’s strongest economic growth because the conventions on asset allocation have failed to keep pace with world changes, according to Fidelity International.

While anecdotal evidence suggests that many investors are inclined to allocate less than 5% of their portfolio to emerging markets – traditionally seen as a highly volatile area of investment – these countries have nearly doubled their share of global GDP to 30% in less than two decades**.

China has climbed its way up the world league table of economic growth and is forecast by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to be the third most important country in terms of GDP by the end of the year, behind Japan and the US.

Seven of the world’s 20 largest economies are now to be found in emerging markets, with Russia and Brazil also both in the top ten. Yet even the MSCI AC World Index, one of the most popular benchmarks for international equity portfolios, has only a 12% exposure to emerging markets***.

Peter Hicks, Executive Director UK Retail, at Fidelity International says advisers and investors may want to consider revising their asset allocation models in light of the growing economic significance of developing nations. “Now that China’s economy has overtaken that of the UK, Germany and France, it is difficult to ignore the emerging markets story. But the changing economic realities make it worth rethinking traditional level of exposure investors have to these markets.

“Obviously there are risks with investments in emerging markets – corporate governance standards are in some cases lower than in the West and their equity markets can be as volatile as British banking shares – but over the longer term the performance of stock markets tends to be correlated with economic performance. Isn’t it time for investors to raise their exposure to emerging markets from just 2.3%? Matching the GDP figure of 30% may be too much of a leap but for more adventurous investors, a weighting of 10-20% might be a more realistic reflection of these economies’ stature.”
Top 20 economies by GDP (percentage share)**: 

Rank199020002008 (estimated)
1USA27.4USA30.8USA23.6
2Japan14.4Japan14.7Japan8.1
3Germany7.3Germany6.0China6.6
4France5.9UK4.6Germany6.1
5Italy5.4France4.2France4.7
6UK4.7China3.8UK4.7
7Canada2.8Italy3.5Italy3.9
8Spain2.5Canada2.3Russia2.8
9Brazil2.4Brazil2.0Spain2.7
10China1.8Spain1.8Brazil2.7
11Australia1.5Mexico1.8Canada2.6
12India1.5S. Korea1.6India2.0
13Netherlands1.4India1.4Australia1.7
14S. Korea1.2Australia1.2S. Korea1.7
15Mexico1.2Netherlands1.2Mexico1.6
16Sweden1.1Taiwan1.0Netherlands1.4
17Switzerland1.1Argentina0.9Turkey1.2
18Turkey1.0Turkey0.8Belgium0.8
19Belgium0.9Russia0.8Sweden0.8
20Austria0.8Switzerland0.8Indonesia0.8


FIL Limited (“FIL”) and its subsidiary companies serve the major markets of the world by providing investment products and services to individuals and institutional investors outside the US. FIL Limited manages a total of £130.4 billion of assets****.


Notes to editors:
*Source: IMA Sector Summary April 2008
**Source: IMF World Economic Outlook database April 2008
***Source: DataStream as at 2 June 2008
****Source: Fidelity as at 31.03.08
Any opinions expressed are made at the time of writing and can be subject to change without notification. The value of investments can go down as well as up and an investor may not get back the original amount invested. For funds that invest in overseas markets, changes in currency exchange rates may mean that the value of your investment goes up or down.
Investments in small and emerging markets can be more volatile than other more developed markets. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

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